Bayes or Bust?: A Critical Examination of Bayesian Confirmation Theory (A Bradford Book) by John Earman (PDF)

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Ebook Info

  • Published: 1992
  • Number of pages: 291 pages
  • Format: PDF
  • File Size: 23.28 MB
  • Authors: John Earman

Description

Bayes or Bust? provides the first balanced treatment of the complex set of issues involved in this nagging conundrum in the philosophy of science. There is currently no viable alternative to the Bayesian analysis of scientific inference, yet the available versions of Bayesianism fail to do justice to several aspects of the testing and confirmation of scientific hypotheses. Bayes or Bust? provides the first balanced treatment of the complex set of issues involved in this nagging conundrum in the philosophy of science. Both Bayesians and anti-Bayesians will find a wealth of new insights on topics ranging from Bayes’s original paper to contemporary formal learning theory. In a paper published posthumously in 1763, the Reverend Thomas Bayes made a seminal contribution to the understanding of “analogical or inductive reasoning.” Building on his insights, modem Bayesians have developed an account of scientific inference that has attracted numerous champions as well as numerous detractors. Earman argues that Bayesianism provides the best hope for a comprehensive and unified account of scientific inference, yet the presently available versions of Bayesianisin fail to do justice to several aspects of the testing and confirming of scientific theories and hypotheses. By focusing on the need for a resolution to this impasse, Earman sharpens the issues on which a resolution turns.

User’s Reviews

Editorial Reviews: Review “John Earman’s “Bayes or Bust?” is a fine analysis of many issues facing modern theoretical statistics and the enterprise of confirmation theory. It brings together technical results with great accuracy and appropriateness and will undoubtedly become a standard work among philosophers of science.” –Clark Glymour, Carnegie Mellon University& quot; John Earman’s Bayes or Bust? is a fine analysis of many issues facing modern theoretical statistics and the enterprise of confirmation theory. It brings together technical results with great accuracy and appropriateness and will undoubtedly become a standard work among philosophers of science.& quot; — Clark Glymour, Carnegie Mellon University” John Earman’s “Bayes or Bust?” is a fine analysis of many issues facing modern theoretical statistics and the enterprise of confirmation theory. It brings together technical results with great accuracy and appropriateness and will undoubtedly become a standard work among philosophers of science.” — Clark Glymour, Carnegie Mellon University– Clark Glymour, Carnegie Mellon University Review Are you interested in learning far more about both the strengths and weaknesses of Bayesianism than you ever imagined was developed in one place? Then take a look at this book.―Paul Teller, Department of Philosophy, University of California, Davis About the Author John Earman is Professor of History and Philosophy of Science at the University of Pittsburgh. Read more

Reviews from Amazon users which were colected at the time this book was published on the website:

⭐A difficult book, but an important one…….glad I have it. job well done by Earman. I bought this book to check up on Richard Carrier’s claims he made about it in his book “Proving History.” Earman is very good.

⭐If you are interested in Bayesian statistical reasoning as a basis for science, this is one of two classics (the other is Earman’s “Bayes or Bust?”)

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