Theory of Probability: A Critical Introductory Treatment (Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics Book 6) 1st Edition by Bruno de Finetti | (PDF) Free Download

Description

First issued in translation as a two-volume work in 1975, this classic book provides the first complete development of the theory of probability from a subjectivist viewpoint. It proceeds from a detailed discussion of the philosophical mathematical aspects to a detailed mathematical treatment of probability and statistics.De Finetti’s theory of probability is one of the foundations of Bayesian theory. De Finetti stated that probability is nothing but a subjective analysis of the likelihood that something will happen and that that probability does not exist outside the mind. It is the rate at which a person is willing to bet on something happening. This view is directly opposed to the classicist/ frequentist view of the likelihood of a particular outcome of an event, which assumes that the same event could be identically repeated many times over, and the ‘probability’ of a particular outcome has to do with the fraction of the time that outcome results from the repeated trials.

User’s Reviews

Reviews from Amazon users which were colected at the time this book was published on the website:

⭐,Most readable.

⭐When I was 15 or so years old, I realised probability and statistics were insanely underappreciated subjects in school. These subjects govern effectively EVERYTHING we do. You can’t make good decisions without thinking about facts probabilistically. Of course, if you’re looking at this book, you already know that.Today, probability is my full-time job. In the sense that it’s everyone’s full time job, yes, but also that the services I produce are based on probabilistic analyses.I’m only a third of the way through my first pass of this book, but it’s already deserved the full five stars. It has changed the way I approach probability and made me a much better probabilist.If you, against all odds, don’t really know what sort of book you’ve ended up looking at: this is not your typical book on probability. Most books on probability and statistics take what I call a “frequentist toolbox” style, i.e. a list of recipes for standard frequentist techniques for estimation, testing, and inference.de Finetti (and Savage, in the same footsteps) approach the problem instead from the perspective of consequences. How can we define probability in terms of the decisions people make? This gives rise to a subjective, or personal, view of probability. It builds a rich theory on common sense concepts you can observe in real life daily.It’s a very important (and not discussed often enough) perspective that I just can’t do justice in a review. I can only recommend reading this book (and Savage’s Foundations of Statistics) if you’re in any way interested in probability (and you should be!)(Yes, the Kindle version has some OCR issues, as seems to be common with mathematical texts. I don’t see this as a problem: I’m just happy I can bring this tome on a small electronic device, and I’m happy to mentally correct for typographical flaws.)

⭐This book comes with a fake binding. Paperback glued directly to the hardcover. The book is thick & pages are starting to fall off. It’s amazing that the publisher charges this much money for a book so poorly produced. Unless they release a cheap paperback this is definitely passable. The book was written in the 1970s. There are better options available in the market.

⭐Regalato ad una persona che l’ha fortemente apprezzato

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