Probability For Dummies 1st Edition by Deborah J. Rumsey (PDF)

Description

Packed with practical tips and techniques for solving probability problems Increase your chances of acing that probability exam — or winning at the casino! Whether you’re hitting the books for a probability or statistics course or hitting the tables at a casino, working out probabilities can be problematic. This book helps you even the odds. Using easy-to-understand explanations and examples, it demystifies probability — and even offers savvy tips to boost your chances of gambling success! Discover how to * Conquer combinations and permutations * Understand probability models from binomial to exponential * Make good decisions using probability * Play the odds in poker, roulette, and other games

User’s Reviews

Editorial Reviews: From the Inside Flap Packed with practical tips and techniques for solving probability problemsIncrease your chances of acing that probability exam — or winning at the casino!Whether you’re hitting the books for a probability or statistics course or hitting the tables at a casino, working out probabilities can be problematic. This book helps you even the odds. Using easy-to-understand explanations and examples, it demystifies probability — and even offers savvy tips to boost your chances of gambling success!Discover how toConquer combinations and permutationsUnderstand probability models from binomial to exponentialMake good decisions using probabilityPlay the odds in poker, roulette, and other games From the Back Cover Packed with practical tips and techniques for solving probability problemsIncrease your chances of acing that probability exam — or winning at the casino!Whether you’re hitting the books for a probability or statistics course or hitting the tables at a casino, working out probabilities can be problematic. This book helps you even the odds. Using easy-to-understand explanations and examples, it demystifies probability — and even offers savvy tips to boost your chances of gambling success!Discover how toConquer combinations and permutationsUnderstand probability models from binomial to exponentialMake good decisions using probabilityPlay the odds in poker, roulette, and other games About the Author Deborah Rumsey has a PhD in Statistics from The Ohio State University (1993). Upon graduating, she joined the faculty in the Department of Statistics at Kansas State University, where she won the distinguished Presidential Teaching Award and earned tenure and promotion in 1998. In 2000, she returned to Ohio State and is now a Statistics Education Specialist/Auxiliary Faculty Member for the Department of Statistics. Dr. Rumsey has served on the American Statistical Association’s Statistics Education Executive Committee and is the Editor of the Teaching Bits section of the Journal of Statistics Education. She’s the author of the books Statistics For Dummies and Statistics Workbook For Dummies (Wiley). She also has published many papers and given many professional presentations on the subject of Statistics Education. Her particular research interests are curriculum materials development, teacher training and support, and immersive learning environments. Her passions, besides teaching, include her family, fishing, bird watching, driving a new Kubota tractor on the family “farm,” and Ohio State Buckeye football (not necessarily in that order). Read more

Reviews from Amazon users which were colected at the time this book was published on the website:

⭐I got this book for one reason and one reason only: to learn how to calculate odds in the different forms of poker. This book contains only six pages devoted to poker hands, and that was just for calculating the probabilities of receiving hands in 5-card stud where all five cards had been dealt from a standard 52-card deck. I will say, though, that the author’s description of how to do this is excellent and easy to understand.The issue, however, is that there are a lot more variations of poker than just 5-card stud. I wanted to learn how to calculate probabilities of the different variants of poker at different stages of the deal. I also wanted to know how to calculate probabilities if there is a wild card and/or a bug in the deck. After turning my brain inside-out for a few days as to how I could do this, I threw in the towel. Maybe I’m dumber than a dummy.I suppose this would be a good book to be used in conjunction with a text book for a student taking a course in probability (outside of the errors pointed out by other reviewers). But I’m not at all interested in knowing all about the entire field of probability. I only want to know about one specific application. And this book didn’t cover what I was looking for.

⭐Overall, this is a good book that serves well as a very thorough introduction to probabilities and statistical distributions. The author covers a very large domain that is probably equivalent to at least one semester course at the college level. I was surprised at the number and complexity of statistical distributions covered and at the depth of the combination and permutation topics applications.This book should fulfill the knowledge needs of most people needing such an introduction to probabilities. The author provides all the formulas and tools needed to deal with not only basic but also fairly advanced stuff (with statistical distributions the learning curve accelerates into the advanced domain readily).As mentioned in the title of this review, the author is not as accurate as she should have been. Some errors are permissible. Other errors are less so. Among the permissible errors are the author’s treatment of the famous birthday problems. I won’t bore you with the technicalities others have already well specified. In any case, the author comes up with an elegant estimate of a solution to the birthday problem. But, it is not 100% accurate. The only error the author did here is to forget to mention this was an estimation and not an accurate solution. There are many well accepted estimations to the birthday problem and the author’s is as reasonably accurate as any others (I have partly checked that).Among the errors that are less permissible, right at the beginning of the book the author completely messes up what odds are. She states that odds is the inverse of a probability. It is not. The odds is either the probability of winning divided by the probability of losing (called Odds on) or the reverse (Odds against). Later in the book, she also bungles the Z distribution probability density function. Those are material errors that discredit the author.So, there you have it. This is a good book overall, but watch out for some errors. If you study statistical distributions in depth I would double check every pmf or pdf formulas with another source such as Wikipedia.If you want to build your mathematical foundation I also strongly recommend

⭐,

⭐, and

⭐. Those books were somewhat more accessible than this one (shorter on theory, more exercises, and superior in quality).

⭐Got me through probs/stats with an A. Passed this probs bible on to another student. It’s the studenthood of the traveling dummies book.

⭐A really fun book. If you like to gamble, a should buy.

⭐Great seller and product

⭐I liked that it is marked with icons that tell you can skipped etc. It is very thorough. However, I wanted to use it to help figure out probabilities of winning the lottery for example.

⭐Decent book. Covers the most important topics with clarity. However, writing style is sophomoric. Gives many examples. Math foundations of probability are beyond the scope of the book.

⭐Not as easy to read as most books on this series. More on the level of a textbook.

⭐As with all “for Dummies” books the format succeeds in being fun and factual- however I dispute that this is for those with little or no knowledge of probability, in a few pages it lapses into lots and lots of algebraic formulae which I feel is not really explained. I have no doubt the author is a world leading expert; however we (who really are Dummies), need hand-holding. We need the writer to stop and give us a reality check quite often. By which I mean, ” not sure why n! goes in the numerator?” or “hey! what’s all this n stuff anyway?” This is not the case. To be honest I am beginning to think that there are some subjects which cannot be “forDummiesized”.

⭐I am doing a maths degree, and had to do a module in probability.I am rubbish at probability, made worse by being a mature student and having cobwebs instead of a grasp of probability.What this book will not do is help with the formulas that under pin probability. It might mention them, and even use them, but it is very basic in that aspect.What this book will help with is the concepts behind probability. I didn’t have a clue about probability, everyone on my course had done the basics in their A level maths, where I was stuck with everything.This book showed me how to draw probability trees and how they work. That alone helped me pass the module, I wouldn’t use the formulas for Total Probability, I would draw a huge tree and work everything out on that. The book tells you when to add probabilities together, and when to multiply them, which was something I could not wrap my head around. It explains conditional probability without using all the maths notation that fried my brain in lectures.By using the concepts in this book to learn what was going on, I was able to get to grips with the maths behind probability and pass the module, fingers crossed with a first!As the title says, the book is for dummies so do not expect any thing else and if you have a basic understanding of probability I would look for another book. As I was clueless, and this book helped me, I’ll give it 5 stars.Update: I got a first in my probability module and I put it down to a couple of days spent reading this book.

⭐As other reviewers have noted, this is a serious introduction to probability that doesn’t shy away from the mathematics yet explains the principles and formulae in a very approachable style. After studying this book you will have a solid foundation in probability theory and the tools to work out probability problems. Notice in the last sentence I used the word “study”. This really isn’t a book “for dummies”.I’ve only given this book three stars however because of a major omission. There are no practice questions with which you can test your progress, As some/many of the concepts explained in this book are quite abstract, simply reading a chapter and thinking you understand it is not enough, even if you read the chapter two or three times. You need to practice what you learn if only to prove to yourself that you really do understand what is being taught.I have read both the Statistics 1 & 2 for Dummies and the Algebra 1 & 2 for Dummies. Each of these books have an accompanying workbook crammed full of questions pertaining to the theory taught in the relevant chapter of the textbook. Why on earth the publishers didn’t think Probability for Dummies didn’t require such a workbook is beyond me.So a very good introduction to probability that will give you a solid foundation but let down by the omission of any questions by which you can test your progress and practice what you learn. A real shame, it would have been 5 stars otherwise.

⭐good

⭐book arrived on time and in good condition. I bought it to refresh and to learn. it is a must have for those of us really interested in becoming alot better at math and eventually will pursue statistics and business statistics

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